Tuesday 17th May: European Open Briefing

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Global Markets:

  • Asian stock markets: Nikkei up 0.80 %, Shanghai Composite fell 0.40 %, Hang Seng rose 0.30 %, ASX 200 gained 0.55 %

  • Commodities: Gold at $1280 (+0.50 %), Silver at $17.28 (+0.75 %), WTI Oil at $48.25 (+1.10 %), Brent Oil at $49.28 (+0.60 %)

  • Rates: US 10 year yield at 1.75, UK 10 year yield at 1.39, German 10 year yield at 0.15

News & Data:

  • Australia ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index (W/E 15 May): 115.1 (prev 113.9)

  • New Zealand RBNZ 2 Year Inflation Expectations (Q2): 1.64% (prev 1.63%)

  • PBoC Fixes Yuan At 6.5200 (prev 6.5343)

  • Japanese FinMin Aso: G7 To Discuss International Taxation, Economy & Development — BBG

  • Aso: Will Attach Utmost Importance To FX Stability At G7 — RTRS

  • Corporate Japan Girds For Stronger Yen In Fiscal 2016 — Nikkei

  • Japan Centre For Economic Research Expects Real GDP Grew Just 0.28% In Q1

RBA Meeting Minutes:

  • RBA Minutes (May): Board Discussed Cutting Rate Or Awaiting More Data

  • Weakness In Domestic Cost Pressures Have Been Broad Based

  • Appreciating A$ Could Complicate Economic Adjustment

  • Less Momentum In Price Pressures Than Previously Thought

  • Outlook For China's Economy Continued To Be Key Issue

  • Labour Cost Growth Could Pick Up Sooner As Job Market Improves

Markets Update:

The US Dollar weakened overnight against most other major currencies, except the Euro and the Swiss Franc. EUR/USD consolidated in a 1.1312-25 range, while USD/CHF was stuck between 0.9770 and 0.9780.

The highest volatility was seen in AUD/USD after the release of the RBA meeting minutes. There were no surprises in the minutes, but the Australian Dollar rallied nevertheless. AUD/USD rose from 0.7285 to a high of 0.7365, while AUD/JPY rallied back above 80.00.

NZD/USD was also lifted by the rally in AUD/USD and it rose to 0.6840, up roughly 60 pips from the open. Meanwhile, rising oil prices continue to support the Canadian Dollar and USD/CAD fell to 1.2845 overnight. Support is now seen at 1.2770.

Upcoming Events:

  • 08:15 BST – Swiss PPI

  • 09:00 BST – Italian Trade Balance

  • 09:30 BST – UK CPI

  • 10:00 BST – Euro Zone Trade Balance

  • 13:30 BST – US Building Permits

  • 13:30 BST – US CPI

  • 13:30 BST – US Housing Starts

  • 13:30 BST – Canadian Manufacturing Sales

  • 14:15 BST – US Manufacturing Production

  • 14:15 BST – US Industrial Production

  • 17:00 BST – FOMC Member Williams speaks

  • 17:00 BST – FOMC Member Lockhart speaks

  • 21:35 BST – US API Weekly Crude Oil Stock

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