Thursday 14th January: European Open Briefing

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Global Markets:

  • Asian stock markets: Nikkei down 4.25 %, Shanghai Composite fell 1.10 %, Hang Seng lost 1.85 %, ASX 200 declined 1.70 %
  • Commodities: Gold at $1094 (+0.70 %), Silver at $14.10 (-0.35 %), WTI Oil at $30.52 (+0.15 %), Brent Oil at $29.99 (-0.65 %)
  • Rates: US 10 year yield at 2.07, UK 10 year yield at 1.74, German 10 year yield at 0.50

News & Data:

  • Australia Full Time Employment Change (Dec): 17.6K (prev 41.6K)
  • Part Time Employment Change (Dec): -18.5K (prev 29.7K)
  • Australia Employment Change (Dec): -1.0K (exp -10.0K prev 71.4K)
  • Australia Unemployment Rate (Dec) 5.8 % (exp 5.9 %, prev 5.8 %)
  • Japan PPI (MoM) Nov: -0.3% (exp -0.4% prev -0.1%)
  • Japan PPI (YoY) Nov: -3.4% (exp -3.5% prev -3.6%)
  • Japan Machine Orders (MoM) Nov: -14.4% (exp -7.3% prev 10.7%)
  • Japan Machine Orders (YoY) Nov: 1.2% (exp 6.3% prev 10.3%)
  • Bank of Korea Keeps Its Base Rate On Hold At 1.50% As Expected
  • Bank Indonesia Seen Edging Toward Rate Cut — WSJ
  • PBoC Fixes Yuan Reference Rate At 6.5616 (prev 6.5630)
  • Yuan Is Unlikely To Keep Falling Sharply — Securities Journal
  • BoJ Gov Kuroda: Japan's Price Trend Is Improving
  • Kuroda: This Year Critical To Judge If Virtuous Cycle Continues

Markets Update:

Risk sentiment took a turn for the worse overnight. After US stock indices fell sharply yesterday, the major Asian stock markets also declined, with the Nikkei falling as much as 4.50 % on the day.

The focus is again on oil as Brent fell below $30. WTI is doing slightly better, as it is still holding above $30, but it remains under pressure overall. The decline in oil prices pushed USD/CAD to fresh multi-year highs in Asia. The pair reached a high of 1.4382 and there seems to be little tech resistance until 1.45.

Meanwhile, USD/JPY had a sharp reversal. After reaching a high of 118.40 in yesterday's NY session, the pair came under pressure in the early Asian session and eventually fell to a low of 117.30. Support is now seen at 117.00 and 116.70.

Australian employment data beat expectations and the unemployment rate remained steady at 5.8 %, but that did not help the Aussie Dollar as the negative sentiment in equity markets weighed on the risk-on currencies as well. AUD/USD fell from 0.6960 to 0.6920 and key support is now seen at 0.6905, the 2015 low.

Upcoming Events:

  • 07:00 GMT – German WPI
  • 09:00 GMT – Italian Industrial Production
  • 12:00 GMT – Bank of England Rate Decision
  • 12:00 GMT – Bank of England Meeting Minutes
  • 12:30 GMT – ECB meeting Minutes
  • 13:30 GMT – US Initial Jobless Claims

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