Tuesday 8th September: European Open Briefing

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Global Markets:

  • Asian stock markets: Nikkei fell 0.46%, Shanghai Composite fell 0.20%, Hang Seng rose 0.54%, ASX200 rose 1.05%
  • Commodities: Gold at $1119.50(-0.17%), Silver at $14.50(-0.37%), WTI Oil at $44.62 (-3.11%), Brent Oil at $48.00 (+0.78 %)
  • Rates: US 10 year yield at 2.14% UK 10 year yield at 1.80%, German 10 year yield at 0.67%

News & Data:

  • Indonesia To Become Full OPEC Member in December
  • Australia NAB Business Conditions (Aug): 11 (prev 6), Australia NAB Business Confidence (Aug) 1 (prev 4)
  • China Trade Balance (Aug): CNY 368.0 Bln, CNY Exports (YoY) Aug: -6.1%, CNY Imports (YoY) Aug: -14.3%
  • Japanese PM Abe: Halfway Through The Course of Abenomics – BBG
  • Japan BoP Trade Balance (Jul): JPY -108.0 Bln (exp JPY -80.0 Blnprev JPY 102.6Bln)
  • Japan BoP Current Account Adj (Jul): JPY 1321.8 Bln (exp JPY 1258.0 Blnprev JPY 1300.3 Bln)
  • Japan GDP SA (QoQ) Q2, F: -0.3% (exp -0.5% prev -0.4%), Japan GDP Annualized SA (QoQ) Q2, F: -1.2% (exp -1.8%, prev -1.6%)
  • Fed’s Williams Sees Rate Increase This Year if Risks Dissipate – WSJ
  • Saudi Arabian crude production is expected to be steady around 10.2-3m/ bpd in Q4, global demand expected to be healthy
  • Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Sep: 13.6 (est 16.0; prev 18.4)

 

Major currencies update: The Euro closed its day of trading yesterday as a doji candle, closing on its weekly open, trading 55 pips from yesterday’s high to low. Price action in the Euro remains relatively stagnant with the US bank holiday yesterday, trading around 1.1160 for the past 12 hours. Support remains at 1.1090 for the pair, with resistance at 1.1180. The Pound traded most actively yesterday out of the major currencies, rallying 100 pips from the weekly open, with prices now sub 1.5300.

Commodity currencies update: The Aussie is climbing mildly in today’s Asian session, up 35 pips from the open at a current spot price of 0.6960, keeping steady above the 0.6900 figure held earlier in the trading week. The Kiwi is experiencing a similar recovery rally upwards from establishing a swing low yesterday at 0.6240, with spot up 20 pips from the open, with price now steady at 0.6280. Market activity is likely to remain limited for today’s trading day as the economic calendar proves to be quite light, with only low-tier releases scheduled today.

Upcoming Events:

  • 06:45 BST – Switzerland Unemployment Rate
  • 07:00 BST – German Trade Balance
  • 07:45 BST – French Trade Balance
  • 10:00 BST – Europe GDP Revised Q/Q

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