Global Markets:
- Asian stock markets: Nikkei up 0.30 %, Shanghai Composite fell 0.40 %, Hang Seng gained 1.10 %, ASX rose 0.50 %
- Commodities: Gold at $1173 (-0.50 %), Silver at $15.67 (-0.15 %), WTI Oil at $58.75 (+0.70 %), Brent Oil at $63.00 (-0.70 %)
- Rates: US 10 year yield at 2.36, UK 10 year yield at 2.01, German 10 year yield at 0.77
News & Data:
- China Manufacturing PMI 50.2, Expected: 50.3, Previous: 50.2
- China Non-Manufacturing PMI 53.8, Previous: 53.2
- China HSBC Manufacturing PMI 49.9, Expected: 49.6, Previous: 49.6
- Japan Manufacturing PMI 50.1, Expected: 49.9, Previous: 49.9
- Japan Tankan CAPEX 9.3 % q/q, Expected: 5.2 %, Previous: -1.2 %
- Japan Large Manufacturers Index 16.0, Expected: 12.0, Previous: 10.0
- Japan Large Non-Manufacturers Index 23.0, Expected: 22.0, Previous: 19.0
- Australia Building Approvals 2.4 %, Expected: 1.0 %, Previous: -5.2 %
- Australia AIG Manufacturing Index 44.2, Previous: 52.3
- World Bank Cuts China 2015 GDP Growth Forecast To 7.1%
- Fed’s Bullard: Risk Of Contagion From Greece To Europe Is Low
- Japanese PM Advisor Takahashi: Further BoJ Easing May Hurt Economy Via Weaker Yen — ET
- Japanese PM Advisor Hamada: Yen Is Being Affected By Fed Move Toward Tightening — BBG
- IMF: Greece Failed To Make Payment Due Tuesday
- IMF To Consider Greek Request For Payment Delay In Due Course
- Eurogroup call on Greece to take place tomorrow morning at 10:30 London time – RTRS
Markets Update:
Greece became yesterday the first developed economy to default on a loan with the IMF, but the EUR/USD was unusually calm. It is likely that most market participants prefer to stay on the sidelines amid all the uncertainty, speculation and rumors. Aside from the fair number of econ data that will be released today, we will also get US employment numbers tomorrow (due to Friday being a public holiday in the US), and the market tends to calm down pre-NFP.
In EUR/USD, imminent support now eyed at 1.1110, followed by 1.1050. The key short-term support level remains 1.0950, Monday's low. To the topside, decent selling interest appeared above 1.1250 and 1.1275 is the key level to watch. USD/JPY bounced off the 122.00 level and closed the day above. Key support seen at 121.50/60, while the key levels to the topside are 123.18 and 123.80 (Friday's close). USD/JPY is the only major pair that hasn't filled the weekend gap yet.
Upcoming Events:
- 08:45 BST – Italian Manufacturing PMI
- 08:50 BST – French Manufacturing PMI
- 08:55 BST – German Manufacturing PMI
- 09:00 BST – Euro Zone Manufacturing PMI
- 09:30 BST – UK Manufacturing PMI
- 13:15 BST – US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
- 14:45 BST – US Manufacturing PMI
- 15:00 BST – US ISM Manufacturing PMI
